Brazil: wholesale potato prices fall 11.6% in August as supply recovers
Takeaways kle yo
- 11.6% drop in Brazil's wholesale potato prices in August
- R$2.63/kg is Brazil's new national average wholesale price
- 46.35% price plunge recorded at the small Rio Branco market
- Onions fell 13.8% and lettuce 14.8% while tomatoes rose 18%
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- Growers planning next season can weigh 2025's oversupply-driven price crash against 2026's output cut, since Conab links this year's price rally to that pullback.
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- Traders can price contracts off the R$2.63/kg national average and expect further softening as new-crop supply keeps building, per Conab's August data.
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Brazil's national weighted-average wholesale potato price fell 11.6% month on month in August to R$2.63/kg (about US$0.51), easing for a second straight month after a rally running since February, per Conab's ninth Horticultural Bulletin of 2026, released 22 September. All Ceasas (state wholesale markets) monitored by Conab recorded declines, led by Rio Branco (-46.35%), a small, volatile north-western market, followed by more representative falls in São José (-25.66%), Curitiba (-22.83%) and Rio de Janeiro (-20.33%), closer to the main growing regions. Conab attributes the drop to improving supply: 2025's oversupply discouraged planting, tightening 2026 output and driving prices up in the first half of the year, and new-crop arrivals are now rebalancing the market. Prices still remain above 2025 levels. Lettuce (-14.8%) and onions (-13.8%) also fell, while tomatoes rose 18.13% as supply tightened after the winter peak. Source: Conab, 9th Horticultural Bulletin 2026; Argenpapa.
Prices dropped at every wholesale market monitored by Conab, bringing the national weighted average down to R$ 2.63/kg (about US$ 0.51). They nonetheless remain above 2025 levels.
Brazilian potato prices have eased for a second consecutive month. This ends a run of increases that had lasted since February. According to the ninth Horticultural Bulletin of 2026, released on 22 September by the National Supply Company (Conab), the weighted average wholesale price fell 11.6% month on month in August to R$ 2.63 per kilogram. The decline was recorded at all of the Ceasas monitored by Conab. Ceasas are Brazil’s state-run central wholesale markets for fresh produce.
At the Central Bank of Brazil’s average August exchange rate of R$ 5.15 to the US dollar, the new average is equivalent to roughly US$ 0.51/kg, or about US$ 510 per tonne. Based on the reported percentage drop, the July average would have been close to R$ 2.97/kg (around US$ 0.58).
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Steepest falls in the north and south
The sharpest declines were recorded in four markets:
- Rio Branco (Acre): −46.35%
- São José (Santa Catarina): −25.66%
- Curitiba (Paraná): −22.83%
- Rio de Janeiro: −20.33%
The near-halving of prices in Rio Branco should be read with caution. It is a small market in Brazil’s remote north-west, far from the main potato-growing areas in the south and south-east, and prices there tend to swing more sharply than elsewhere. The 20–26% falls in Curitiba, São José and Rio de Janeiro are more indicative of the broader market. These three sit much closer to the country’s core production zones.
Supply catching up
Conab attributes the downturn to improved potato availability on the wholesale market.
The price correction follows a pronounced cycle. In 2025, supply exceeded market needs and prices slumped. According to Conab, this discouraged growers from repeating that level of production in 2026. Reduced output then underpinned the price rally of the first half of the year. Now the arrival of new-crop potatoes is gradually bringing the market back into balance. Despite the August drop, wholesale prices remain higher than in the same period of 2025.
Broader vegetable picture
Potatoes were not alone in getting cheaper. The same bulletin shows lettuce down 14.8% and onions down 13.8% on average. Tomatoes were the only major vegetable to rise, climbing 18.13% as supply tightened after the winter harvest peaked in July.
Conab’s monthly analysis forms part of the Brazilian Programme for the Modernisation of the Horticultural Market (Prohort). It tracks the products that carry the most weight in Ceasa trade and in Brazil’s IPCA consumer price index.
Source: Conab, 9th Horticultural Bulletin 2026; Argenpapa
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Conab expects new-crop supply to keep rebalancing the market; no specific price forecast for coming months is given.
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- Conab (Brazil's National Supply Company), 9th Horticultural Bulletin 2026, released 22 September 2026; also credited to Argenpapa.

